CAP Survey Projects a Raila Victory in Round One

A survey conducted by the Centre for African Progress (CAP) has projected a round one win by Azimio La Umoja-One Kenya coalition party presidential candidate Raila Odinga.

Odinga would garner 52 percent of the votes ahead of his main challenger Deputy President William Ruto of the Kenya Kwanza Alliance at 45 percent while Roots Party’s George Wajackoyah came in third with 2 percent, according to the poll released on Friday.

The study shows that Odinga, 77, enjoys more support in Nyanza, Western, Coast, Eastern, North Eastern, Nairobi and Central Rift while Ruto, 55, dominates South Rift and Mount Kenya regions.

“The number of those who are still undecided today stands at about one percent,” says the report.

Ruto’s UDA is the most popular political party in the country at 40 percent, followed by ODM at 37 percent, Jubilee party (12 percent), Wiper (3 percent) and Kanu (one percent). In terms of the popularity of coalitions, Azimio La Umoja-One Kenya is the most popular at 50 percent ahead of Kenya Kwanza Alliance at 47 percent.

A total of 8,355 registered voters participated in the survey conducted across all 47 counties between July 15th and July 17th. It had a margin of error of about 1.5 percent.

Founded in 2013, CAP describes itself as a think-tank of African intellectuals that tackle economic and political issues across Africa.