Ruto Leads Raila in the Latest Opinion Poll

Deputy President William Ruto would emerge victorious if a presidential election was held today, a new survey shows.

Ruto would garner 38 percent of the votes cast ahead of his main competitor Raila Odinga (27 percent), according to the latest opinion poll by Trends & Insights for Africa (TIFA).

The poll released on Thursday shows there would be a run-off as none of the presidential candidates would attain the requisite 50 percent plus one vote.

To be declared a winner in round one, a presidential candidate is required to bag 50 percent of all votes cast in the election plus one vote, and at least 25 percent of the votes cast in more than half of the 47 counties.

The survey lists ANC leader Musalia Mudavadi (27 percent) as the perceived ‘best’ running mate for Ruto followed by Ann Waiguru (15 percent), Rigathi Gachagua (11 percent), and Kalonzo Musyoka (8 percent).

On the other hand, Peter Kenneth (41 percent), Kalonzo Musyoka (18 percent), Martha Karua (13 percent), and Charity Ngilu (5 percent) are the perceived ‘best’ running mates for Raila. 

Ruto has teamed up with Mudavadi and Ford-Kenya leader Moses Wetang’ula to form the ‘Kenya Kwanza’ alliance ahead of the August 9th elections.

Raila, a former prime minister, is giving his fifth stab at the presidency under the ‘Azimio La Umoja’ movement. 

The latest TIFA survey was conducted between February 3rd and 9th.