Former Prime Minister Raila Odinga
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Former Prime Minister Raila Odinga's recent public statements and actions are raising questions about the solidity of his alliance with President William Ruto, despite an existing agreement between the two leaders.
The apparent discord comes as Raila's allies have taken positions in the current administration, further complicating the political landscape. Odinga, traditionally a strong government critic, has recently made comments critical of the administration's performance, particularly concerning health services and taxation. Speaking in Kiambu, he questioned the government's affordable housing levy, suggesting a potential divergence from the President's agenda.
These remarks, made at the burial of Lewis Kimani Waiyaki, also revealed that Ruto initiated the unity talks, a point Odinga emphasized while asserting his continued advocacy for all Kenyans. Adding to the uncertainty, Odinga addressed public concerns that he had abandoned his opposition role, particularly in light of fatalities during protests against the high cost of living. He claimed President Ruto, facing pressure, sought unity talks to establish a new government.
Despite failing to secure the African Union Commission chairperson position, Odinga has affirmed his commitment to pursuing Kenyan interests. He stresses the necessity of resolving outstanding issues outlined in the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) through continued dialogue. Odinga indicates that the outcomes of these discussions would inform the political landscape leading up to the 2027 elections.
Over the weekend, Odinga encountered hostility in Kisii, with attendees chanting for both him and Ruto to step down. This animosity was reportedly fueled, in part, by Odinga's recent criticism of former Interior CS Fred Matiang'i's presidential aspirations. Allies from the region described this reception as a "reality check" on the unpopular Ruto-Raila partnership, which has faced significant criticism, including accusations of "betrayal," particularly on social media.
While Odinga was speaking in Kiambu, President Ruto held rallies in Mathare, a traditional opposition stronghold, promoting their alliance. Ruto was accompanied by ODM lawmakers, with the notable absence of Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna and Embakasi East MP Babu Owino. Owino, a vocal critic of the President, has endorsed Kalonzo Musyoka for the 2027 presidential race.
Sifuna, as Secretary General of ODM, was present at the signing of the 10-point MoU with Ruto's UDA party. This agreement focuses on implementing the National Dialogue Committee report, addressing government extravagance, and preventing abductions of government critics. Sources within ODM indicate that before the public handshake, internal factions debated the merits of a formal partnership with Ruto.
Observers now speculate that Odinga’s recent maneuvers may be a strategic attempt to avoid complete alignment with either side. With the political dynamics constantly shifting, the true depth and direction of the Odinga-Ruto alliance remain unclear.