Gachagua, Kindiki Rivalry Leaves Mt Kenya Diaspora Unsure Where to Pledge Support

The political landscape of Kenya's Mt Kenya region has become increasingly complex and divided, sparking confusion among its diaspora voters as succession politics take centre stage.

Recent developments have seen the emergence of Prof Kithure Kindiki as a rival to Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua for the position of regional kingpin. This new dynamic adds to the already intricate political situation, where former President Uhuru Kenyatta continues to wield significant influence as the de facto leader. The declaration of support for Prof Kindiki by a section of Mt Kenya lawmakers in Nyahururu has further complicated matters. Former Bahati MP Kimani Ngunjiri voices the unprecedented level of division within the region, noting that the diaspora vote, which traditionally aligns with Mt Kenya, now faces uncertainty about its political orientation.

The split between Mt Kenya East and West has raised concerns about potential ethnic divisions in what has historically been a united region. The diaspora vote, comprising millions of voters from various Mt Kenya communities, risks losing its political weight due to this internal power struggle. Ngunjiri, who previously rallied diaspora support for President William Ruto in 2022, expresses reluctance to become entangled in these regional conflicts. He emphasizes the need to focus on developmental issues as the foundation for political unity.

President Ruto has been called upon to mediate between the competing factions, both of which profess loyalty to him. There are concerns that prolonging these divisions could have negative political consequences for the president. Critics argue that the timing of this leadership debate is inappropriate, especially when the current administration faces scrutiny over its performance. The shifting dynamics in Mt Kenya have broader implications for Kenya's political landscape. A recent survey indicated strong support for Interior CS Kithure Kindiki as the preferred regional kingpin, potentially marginalizing Deputy President Gachagua. This internal competition threatens the region's historical unity and could diminish its ability to secure government projects and developmental initiatives.

The role of former President Uhuru Kenyatta remains significant, as his influence continues to shape regional politics even after leaving office. His stance on the current debate could further alter the political calculus in Mt Kenya. Religious leaders such as ACK Diocese of Nakuru Bishop Anthony Mwaura have expressed disappointment in the conduct of Mt Kenya leaders, suggesting that many voters now regret their previous electoral choices. There is a growing call for leaders to prioritize development over political disputes to maintain Mt Kenya's influential position in national politics.